A collection of my manuscripts, preprints, and peer-reviewed publications in climate dynamics and Earth system modeling.
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Current Manuscripts
Sun, L., R. Wills, C. Deser, A. Herrington, I. Simpson, M. Gervais, 2025: Increased Model Resolution Amplifies Arctic Precipitation and Atmospheric Circulation Response to Sea-Ice Loss, J. Climate, in review. [Preprint].
Sun, L., J. Hurrell, K. Rasmussen, B. Kravitz, B. Summers, 2025: Assessing the Impact of Solar Climate Intervention on Future U.S. Weather Using a Convection-Permitting Model. Geosci. Model Dev., in review. [Preprint].
Sigmond, M. and L. Sun, Atmospheric jet stream response to future Arctic sea ice loss not underestimated by climate models, NPJ Clim. Atmos. Sci., Accepted.
Kang, J., T. Shaw and L. Sun, Using energetic frameworks to assess artificial heating in coupled model sea ice loss experiments, J. Climate, in revision.
Screen, J., and co-authors (including L. Sun), 2025: Causes and consequences of polar amplification elucidated by coordinated multimodel experiments, Commun. Earth Environ., in revision.
Kaye, A. R., L. Sun, W. S. Hart, J.W. Hurrell, M. J. Tildesley, R. N. Thompson, 2025: The effect of natural climate variability on future suitability for vector-borne disease: a mathematical modelling study, Proc. R. Soc. B, In review.
Chakraborty, A, J. W. Hurrell, K. Rasmussen and L. Sun, 2025: Evaluating Changes in Convective Environments Over Subtropical South America Under Forced and Natural Climate Variability, Geophys. Res. Lett., in revision.
Summers, B., K. Rasmussen, J. W. Hurrell, L. Sun, and H. Yu, 2025: Future Projections of the 2011 Super Tornado Outbreak Under Global Warming and Stratospheric Aerosol Injection, Earth’s Future, manuscript nearly ready for submission.
Nguyen, T.Q., B. Kravitz, J. W. Hurrell, K. L. Rasmussen, T. A. O’Brien, D. L. Ficklin, D. Visioni, L. Sun and T. Li, 2025: Dynamical downscaling for Solar geoengineering: U.S. Midwest extreme precipitation signals and implications for future simulations, Geophys. Res. Lett., manuscript nearly ready for submission.
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Peer-reviewed Publications
60 publications • 4,384 citations • h-index 32
Wu, Y., L. Sun and O. Terry, 2025: Can Arctic Sea Ice Melting Lead to More Summertime Heat Extremes? Geophys. Res. Lett., 52, e2025GL116668. [Link].
Ding, X., G. Chen, Y. Wang and L. Sun, 2025: Demystifying the drivers of the spring warming asymmetry between Eurasia and North America. Sci. Adv. 11, eadu2364. [Link].
Sun, L., C. Patrizio, D. Thompson and J. Hurrell, 2025: Influence of Anomalous Ocean Heat Transport on the Extratropical Atmospheric Circulation in a High-Resolution Slab-Ocean Coupled Model, Geophys. Res. Lett., 52, e2024GL111770. [Link].
Kang J., T. Shaw and L. Sun, 2024: Anthropogenic aerosols have significantly weakened the regional summertime circulation in the Northern Hemisphere during the satellite era, AGU Adv., 5, e2024AV001318.
[Link].
Kaye, A. R., U. Obolski, L. Sun, J. W. Hurrell, M. J. Tildesley, R. N. Thompson, 2024: The impact of climate change and natural climate variability on the global distribution of Aedes aegypti,
Lancet Planet. Health, 8(12), e1079–e1087.
[Link].
Franke, M., J. Hurrell, K. Rasmussen and L. Sun, 2024: Impact of forced and internal climate variability on changes in convective environments over the eastern United States,
Front. Clim., 6:1385527.
[Link].
Rea, D., D. Elsbury, A. Butler, L. Sun, Y. Peings and G. Magnusdottir, 2024: Interannual influence of Antarctic sea ice on Southern Hemisphere stratosphere–troposphere coupling,
Geophys. Res. Lett., 51, e2023GL107478.
[Link].
Sigmond, M. and L. Sun, 2024: The role of the basic state in the climate response to future sea ice loss,
Environ. Res. Climate, 3, 031002.
[Link].
Gervais, M., L. Sun, C. Deser, 2024: Impacts of Projected Arctic Sea Ice Loss on Daily Weather Patterns over North America,
J. Climate, 37, 1065–1085,
[Link].
Glade, I., J. Hurrell, L. Sun, K. Rasmussen, 2023: Assessing the impact of stratospheric aerosol injection on U.S. convective weather environments,
Earth’s Future, 11, e2023EF004041.
[Link].
Liang, Y.-C., Y. Kwon, C. Frankignoul, G. Gastineau, K. L. Smith, L. M. Polvani, L. Sun, Y. Peings, C. Deser, R. Zhang and J. Screen, 2023: The Weakening of the Stratospheric Polar Vortex and the Subsequent Surface Impacts as Consequences to Arctic Sea-Ice Loss,
J. Climate, 37, 309–333.
[Link].
Kang, J., T. Shaw and L. Sun, 2023: Arctic Sea Ice Loss Weakens Northern Hemisphere Summertime Storminess but Not Until the Late 21st Century,
Geophys. Res. Lett., 50, e2022GL102301.
[Link].
Hueholt, D., E. A. Barnes, J. W. Hurrell, J. H. Richter and L. Sun, 2023: Assessing Outcomes in Stratospheric Aerosol Injection Scenarios Shortly After Deployment,
Earth’s Future, 11, e2023EF003488.
[Link].
Barnes, E., J. Hurrell, L. Sun, 2022: Detecting changes in global extremes under the GLENS-SAI climate intervention strategy,
Geophys. Res. Lett., 49, e2022GL100198.
[Link].
Sun, L., M. Hoerling, J. H. Richter, A. Hoell, A. Kumar and J. Hurrell, 2022: Attribution of North American Subseasonal Precipitation Prediction Skill,
Wea. Forecasting, 37, 2069–2085.
[Link].
Ding, X., G. Chen, L. Sun and P. Zhang, 2022: Distinct surface temperature signatures following the zonally symmetric and asymmetric modes of stratospheric variability in Northern Hemisphere winter,
Geophys. Res. Lett., 49, e2021GL096076.
[Link].
Richter, J. et al. (including L. Sun), 2022: Subseasonal Earth system prediction with CESM2,
Wea. Forecasting, 37, 797–815.
[Link].
Hay, S., P. J. Kushner, R. Blackport, K. E. McCusker, T. Oudar, L. Sun, M. England, C. Deser, J. A. Screen and L. M. Polvani, 2022: Separating the influences of low-latitude warming and sea-ice loss on Northern Hemisphere climate change,
J. Climate, 35, 2327–2349.
[Link].
Smith, D., et al. (including L. Sun), 2022: Robust but weak multi-model atmospheric response to future Arctic sea ice loss,
Nat. Commun., 13, 727.
[Link].
Sun, L., C. Deser, I. Simpson and M. Sigmond, 2022: Uncertainty in the winter atmospheric response to Arctic sea ice loss: the role of stratospheric polar vortex internal variability,
J. Climate, 35, 3109–3130.
[Link].
Yook, S., D. W. J. Thompson, L. Sun and C. Patrizio, 2022: The simulated atmospheric response to western North Pacific sea-surface temperature anomalies,
J. Climate, 35, 3335–3352.
[Link].
Oehrlein, J., L. Polvani, L. Sun, C. Deser, 2021: How well do we know the surface impact of sudden stratospheric warmings?
Geophys. Res. Lett., 48, e2021GL095493.
[Link].
Samarasinghe, S., E. A. Barnes, C. Connolly, I. Ebert-Uphoff and L. Sun, 2021: Strengthened causal connections between the MJO and the North Atlantic with climate warming,
Geophys. Res. Lett., 48, e2020GL091168.
[Link].
Meehl, G. A., J. H. Richter, H. Teng et al. (including L. Sun), 2021: Initialized subseasonal to decadal Earth system prediction,
Nat. Rev. Earth Environ., 2, 340–357.
[Link].
Audette, A., R. Fajber, P. J. Kushner, Y. Wu, Y. Peings, G. Magnusdottir, M. Sigmond and L. Sun, 2021: Opposite responses of the dry and moist heat transport in PAMIP experiments,
Geophys. Res. Lett., 48, e2020GL089990.
[Link].
Sun, L., J. Perlwitz, J. Richter, M. Hoerling, J. W. Hurrell, 2020: NAO predictive skill beyond two weeks in boreal winter,
Geophys. Res. Lett., 47, e2020GL090451.
[Link].
Banerjee, A., A. H. Butler, L. M. Polvani, A. Robock, I. R. Simpson and L. Sun, 2020: Robust winter warming over Eurasia under stratospheric sulfate geoengineering – the role of stratospheric dynamics,
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 6985–6997.
[Link].
Sun, L., C. Deser, R. A. Tomas and M. Alexander, 2020: Global coupled climate response to polar sea ice loss: Evaluating the effectiveness of ice-constraining approaches,
Geophys. Res. Lett., 47, e2019GL085788.
[Link].
Richter, J. H., K. Pegion, L. Sun et al., 2020: Subseasonal prediction with and without a well-represented stratosphere in CESM1,
Wea. Forecasting, 35, 2589–2602.
[Link].
Thompson, R. N., M. J. Thompson, J. W. Hurrell, L. Sun and U. Obolski, 2020: Assessing the threat of major vector-borne disease outbreaks under climate change,
Astrophysics and Space Science Proceedings, pp 25–35.
[Link].
England, M., L. Polvani and L. Sun, 2020: Robust Arctic warming caused by projected Antarctic sea ice loss,
Environ. Res. Lett., 15, 104005.
[Link].
England, M., L. Polvani, L. Sun and C. Deser, 2020: Tropical climate responses to projected Arctic and Antarctic sea ice loss,
Nat. Geosci., 13, 275–281.
[Link].
Zhang, X., C. Deser and L. Sun, 2020: Is there a tropical response to recent observed Southern Ocean cooling?
Geophys. Res. Lett., 48, e2020GL091235.
[Link].
Sun, L., M. Alexander, and C. Deser, 2018: Evolution of the global coupled climate response to Arctic sea ice loss during 1990–2090,
J. Climate, 31, 7823–7843.
[Link].
Wang, K., C. Deser, L. Sun and R. Tomas, 2018: Fast response of the tropics to an abrupt loss of Arctic sea ice via ocean dynamics,
Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, 4264–4272.
[Link].
England, M., L. Polvani and L. Sun, 2018: Contrasting Antarctic and Arctic atmospheric responses to projected sea ice loss by 2100,
J. Climate, 31, 6353–6370.
[Link].
Screen, J. A., C. Deser, D. M. Smith, X. Zhang, R. Blackport, P. J. Kushner, T. Oudar, K. E. McCusker and L. Sun, 2018: Consistency and discrepancy in atmospheric responses to Arctic sea-ice loss across models,
Nat. Geosci., 11, 155–163.
[Link].
Sun, L., D. Allured, M. Hoerling, L. Smith, J. Perlwitz, and D. Murray, 2018: Drivers of 2016 record Arctic warmth from factual and counterfactual simulations,
Weather and Climate Extremes, 19,1-8.
[Link].
Xue, D., J. Lu, L. Sun, G. Chen and Y. Zhang, 2017: Anti-cyclonic wave activity increase over Northern Eurasia under Arctic warming,
Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 3299–3308.
[Link].
Polvani, L., L. Sun, A. H. Butler, J. H. Richter and C. Deser, 2017: Distinguishing SSWs from ENSO as drivers of winter climate variability,
J. Climate, 30, 1959–1969.
[Link].
Burrows, D. A., G. Chen and L. Sun, 2017: Barotropic and baroclinic eddy feedbacks in midlatitude jet variability,
J. Atmos. Sci., 74, 111–132.
[Link].
Sun, L., J. Perlwitz and M. Hoerling, 2016: Causes of the “Warm Arctic, Cold Continents” trend pattern,
Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 5345–5352.
[Link].
Deser, C., L. Sun, R. A. Tomas and J. Screen, 2016: Does ocean coupling matter for Northern Hemisphere responses to Arctic sea ice loss?,
Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 2149–2157.
[Link].
Tomas, R. A., C. Deser and L. Sun, 2016: Role of ocean heat transport in global response to Arctic sea ice loss,
J. Climate, 29, 6841–6859.
[Link].
Sun, L., C. Deser and R. A. Tomas, 2015: Mechanisms of stratospheric and tropospheric circulation response to Arctic sea ice loss,
J. Climate, 28, 7824–7845.
[Link].
Yang, H., L. Sun and G. Chen, 2015: Separating transient responses to stratospheric ozone-depletion-like cooling in a model,
J. Atmos. Sci., 72, 763–773.
[Link].
Richter, J. H., C. Deser and L. Sun, 2015: Effects of stratospheric variability on ENSO teleconnections,
Environ. Res. Lett., 10, 124021.
[Link].
Deser, C., R. A. Tomas and L. Sun, 2015: Ocean–atmosphere coupling in zonal-mean response to Arctic sea ice loss,
J. Climate, 28, 2168–2186.
[Link].
Screen, J. A., C. Deser and L. Sun, 2015: Projected changes in regional climate extremes from Arctic sea ice loss,
Environ. Res. Lett., 10, 084006.
[Link].
Screen, J. A., C. Deser and L. Sun, 2015: Reduced risk of North American cold extremes due to continued sea ice loss,
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96, 1489–1503
[Link].
Sun, L., C. Deser, L. Polvani and R. A. Tomas, 2014: Influence of projected Arctic sea ice loss on polar stratospheric ozone and circulation,
Environ. Res. Lett., 9, 084016.
[Link].
Sun, L., G. Chen and W. A. Robinson, 2014: Role of stratospheric vortex breakdown in Southern Hemisphere trends,
J. Atmos. Sci., 71, 2335–2353.
[Link].
Lu, J., L. Sun, Y. Wu and G. Chen, 2014: PV mixing and zonal mean circulation response to global warming-like forcing,
J. Climate, 27, 2297–2316.
[Link].
Sun, L., G. Chen and J. Lu, 2013: Sensitivity of zonal mean circulation to tropical warming,
J. Atmos. Sci., 70, 2487–2504.
[Link].
Domeisen, D., L. Sun and G. Chen, 2013: Synoptic eddies and tropospheric responses to stratospheric variability,
Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 4933–4937.
[Link].
Chen, G., J. Lu and L. Sun, 2013: Eddy–zonal flow interactions under uniform SST warming in an aquaplanet,
J. Atmos. Sci., 70, 2214–2233.
[Link].
Sun, L., W. A. Robinson and G. Chen, 2012: Predictability of stratospheric warming events,
J. Atmos. Sci., 69, 768–783.
[Link].
Chen, G. and L. Sun, 2011: Mechanisms of the tropical upwelling branch of the Brewer–Dobson circulation,
J. Atmos. Sci., 68, 2878–2892.
[Link].
Sun, L., W. A. Robinson and G. Chen, 2011: Planetary waves and downward influence of stratospheric final warmings,
J. Atmos. Sci., 68, 2826–2843.
[Link].
Sun, L. and W. A. Robinson, 2009: Downward influence of stratospheric final warming events in an idealized model,
Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L03819.
[Link].
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